Trump’s Legacy in Two Words

Not Enough.

Trump did a lot; if you don’t think he did, you weren’t paying attention. Look at John C. Wright’s not tired of winning posts for information.

It was not enough. Trump claimed that fraudsters stole the election and took control of the government illegally. And he conceded. It was not enough.

Biden will be passing fifteen executive orders just today to undo as many of Trump’s achievements as he can as quickly as he can.

Ultimately Trump was a guy who was driven by his ego; and what an ego it was.

But that is not what we needed. We needed a George Washington, or a Cincinnattus. Somebody who had not just the charisma to rally people, not just the desire to do broadly the right things, but the courage to do what was necessary even if it meant enormous sacrifices, and the desire to do it because they truly believe it was the right thing to do.

Which is not what we got.

What happens next?

Go to Church, keep up your work, and conservatives who don’t want to work retail wage slave jobs prepare to run, if not out of the country then to red America.

It won’t be good.

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Malcolm the Cynic’s Two Bold Predictions:

  1. Joe Biden is going be one of the most popular presidents ever in his first term. He is going to start off by literally giving out 2,000 dollars to everybody. As spring rolls in, the Corona-chan virus numbers will obviously go down. And because of the vaccination program, they won’t go back up again.

    Biden is going to take full credit for all of this and this narrative will be pushed relentlessly by all media, including the “right”. His approval numbers will break records, and not because they’re faked.
  2. When he inevitably dies – probably by the end of this year, maybe sometime next year – President Harris will be perhaps our least popular president ever. She will leave office widely despised.

We’ll all see soon enough!

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Sure, I’ll say something

Stop me if you heard this one: 2020 was weird.

But really, for me personally it was weird.

Professionally, I can only describe it as a major success. I have a full time job in my field with benefits; it doesn’t pay a lot right now but all things considered this is an enormous step up. If you had asked me when the year began if I wanted to be working where I am right now at this point, I would have said yes without a second’s hesitation. It took a lot of hard work to reach this point. I’m incredibly thankful.

Writing-wise, I am one of the writers for Pinkerton’s Ghosts, which is currently being hosted on Unauthorized. Incidentally, unlike a lot of people with small blogs or columns who go AWOL, I didn’t. You can find find content written and acted by me; look up Pinkerton’s Ghosts on Youtube. Every third Pinkerton story, starring Sean Russo, is done by me. A new Pinkerton’s comes out every Friday at 7:00 EST. I have high hopes for this. Ben Wheeler is the Captain of this ship and he’s good – very good. Ken Dickason, the other writer on the team and our technical wizard, is no slouch either. This project got me writing regularly for the first time in years, arguably ever. At least since “Tales of the Once and Future King” came out.

So again, my writing career is going…shockingly well.

But 2020 was weird. Despite all of that, I spent the majority of the year fairly miserable, and for obvious reasons. Knowing that I SHOULDN’T be miserable is one thing; actually learning how to not be obnoxiously gloomy all the time is another. I tend towards cynicism, hence the name of this blog.

I have goals for 2021. I don’t believe in “new year, new goals”; they are extensions of where I was already heading. Professionally, I have a couple, but I won’t write them here. Writing-wise, sometime in the next year I want my first finished novel published.

Will 2021 be better than 2020? I’m Malcolm the Cynic. My answer remains “No”. It will be noticeably worse.

Sorry, I got nothing. Happy New Year everyone!

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It can get so much worse

So, being Malcolm the Cynic, I am going to tell you why I am cynical right now.

It looks like Biden stole the election. I am frankly – I say this with total honesty – not smart enough to tell if all of the evidence for widespread election fraud is really enough to change anything, but on a gut level, it seems highly unlikely to me. But that’s all I’ve got for you.

I am not telling anyone to give up or give in – far, far from it. Fight to the bitter end for the rightful ruler of our country to take office. But I am telling you it seems – *seems* – like we’ll get President Biden.

What I am somewhat skeptical of is the idea that God won’t allow this because of the strength of our prayers or faith.

Here is how bad things can get:

In the 20th century we have had multiple genocides, ruthless dictators take power and murder all press that was remotely negative, and have these people be substantial IMPROVEMENTS to the governments that they held previously. We have tyrannical dictatorships like China somehow managing to fool people that they aren’t disasters.

The idea that Biden can’t or won’t devastate the country is one I am frankly unconvinced of. We absolutely can get much, much worse, and I suspect once Biden is in office we have around four years of relative prosperity before we start looking an awful lot like Venezuela. Maybe it’ll extend to eight years, but I’d be surprised.

My point is that the range for how bad it can get realistically is way, way larger than people realize. Quality of life in America has been extraordinarily high, to the point where it’s hard for us to grasp the idea that Rwanda is a real place in the real world. But it is and the Rwandan genocide did happen.

Does this all sound way too negative or despairing for a faithful Catholic? Why should it? Can we deny that America has not done evils enough to deserve chastisement 20, fifty, a hundred, a thousand times over? Of course we have! Abortion alone is enough to justify the flood.

Am I saying we will get as bad as Rwanda any time soon? No, I am not. What I am saying is that things can and probably will get SUBSTANTIALLY worse relatively soon. My guess is major economic depression, right-wingers being prevented from getting jobs based on thoughtcrime, and multiple wars with foreign powers.

“But Malcolm, aren’t you just encouraging people to give into despair by talking about this?”

No! I am not. I am telling you to PREPARE for it. Stock up on ammunition, if you live near cities or blue areas prepare to move and fast, and start coming up with alternative ways to support yourself.

As violence around the country goes up, be smart. Avoid dangerous areas, and lock your doors at night. Don’t count on the police – at all.

Join a church and go regularly. Be a part of a community of LOCAL people, preferably in your church community, who are willing to support each other. Online friends are nice but they’re simply not going to be able to knock on your door.

And do NOT despair. If we have to live for through these times, so be it; others have had to live through worse.

And pray daily that President Trump can overcome his oppressors and take his place as the rightful head of the country come January. Trump is perhaps not the right man chosen by God, but if the fraud is real he is the rightful ruler and we can ask God for help in restoring him. Charles was a faithless king, but Joan of Arc supported him because he WAS the king, not because if his character.

Go to Confession, and do not despair. Christ is in charge.

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Becoming the Radical

Well, it’s happened. I am now officially in the coronavirus “radical” camp.

Originally – and I stand by everything I’ve said – I denied the virus was a hoax, and still do. The deaths happened. Trump’s initial one month shutdown was not a bad idea. There was a time in April where, in the U.S. things got scary for a couple of weeks in the metro area.

I am now a denier. So I’m going to write it here, in bold letters:

There is no crisis. We should have no restrictions. We should not be counting cases. We should not be worrying about anything.

What turned me into a radical is a look at the stats. All cause deaths Just. Aren’t. Rising. They stubbornly resist all attempts by the media to fudge. This means hospitalizations are not a crisis either (if they were, all cause deaths would be rising). In fact, this is a best case scenario in terms of hastening herd immunity, which is going to happen sooner or later and if people aren’t dying might as well go with sooner right?

What’s turned me into a real radical here is that I’m starting to see the damage play out among people I talk to. One teachers forum is full of nothing but panicked teachers convinced we’re going to see mass die-offs throughout the year. What bothered me is the one teacher who said – when she learned her district is opening in person – she informed her aging parents they wouldn’t be able to see each other for a few months, then burst into tears. People are quitting their jobs, with no safety net.

One person I talked to in a forum, a devout and faithful Catholic, still refuses to receive the Eucharist because he is worried about the health of his elderly mother-in-law.

Baseball has had a surge in cases. Oh no! Not told: It’s a mostly asymptomatic surge. It still may lead to cancelling the season.

“Cases” is another lie. How many of these “cases” aren’t cases at all, but mere positive tests?

End the madness. There is no crisis. Read Dr. Briggs. There is nothing to support our reaction.

I’d say “This has to stop!” but we all know it won’t.

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The Global Warming Zone: The Next Part

Dr. Feser, too smart to have the wool pulled over his eyes for too long, wrote this brutal article I can only recommend. Mostly though I just want to report this small section:

So why the hell do people other than those at risk have, at this point, radically to disrupt their lives and livelihoods?  Why not just quarantine those who are sick or especially vulnerable?  Suspicion that there simply is no convincing answer to this question is only reinforced by the blatant dishonesty in much reporting about the virus.  For example, the evidence shows that children are simply not in any significant danger of getting ill from the virus or of spreading it – a now viral recent NBC news video with a group of pediatricians providing some vivid expert testimony to that effect.  Yet the Hill article linked to above, despite essentially acknowledging this, still strains desperately to find a way to scare us into thinking that we just might end up killing the kiddies if we reopen schools.  Which is true in the same sense that you just might kill the kiddies if you take them out on the freeway or let them go swimming.

Linker’s dishonesty is even more shameless.  He writes:

I remember when trusted models were predicting a total of 100,000 deaths from the pandemic. Skeptics dismissed this as scaremongering.  Then the estimates were lowered to 60,000 deaths and the skeptics scoffed: “We wrecked the economy for this? It’s just the flu!”  That was three months ago.  On Wednesday of this week, we surpassed 140,000 dead.

Well, here’s what I remember: the notorious Imperial College model’s prediction that we could see over 2 million deaths in the U.S., and similar doomsday scenarios from others.  I doubt Linker has really forgotten that part, but certainly millions of other people have not.  And that, of course, is another reason they are skeptical now.  They would be insane not to be.  Linker should worry less about the “American character” and more about the character of experts and politicians – and of journalists like himself, who apparently thinks that his readers are all Memento cases who will buy his ridiculous insinuation that the experts were lowballing the death rate four months ago.

It is now widely acknowledged that the virus poses a serious danger primarily to the elderly and those with serious preexisting medical conditions.  Yes, occasionally there are people who fall outside those categories who also get seriously ill, but that’s true of other illnesses that we don’t respond to with lockdowns and other draconian measures.

Preach, Professor, preach!

Read the whole damn thing.

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The Global Warming Zone, the new number: The postmortem Right and Wrong

The coronavirus crisis, such as it was, is over.

People are no longer dying at a rate higher than any normal season. This is all cause deaths, meaning, hospitals aren’t being overwhelmed, meaning, kung flu isn’t killing people at a rate that would skew models higher than normal.

Not only that, if cases are rising but deaths aren’t this is a good thing, as it hastens herd immunity.

It’s finished. Kaput. Thus, the numbers we have are the numbers we should be using to judge how bad this crisis got.

Final result: Around 120,000 Americans officially reported as dead.

All right kids, it’s time for a new edition of everyone’s favorite game: Right and wrong!

We’re gonna look back at what I’ve said about things so far and see how my track record holds up. Get ready!

Wrong: Didn’t think the metro area would get hit as hard as it did.

This one I am including in all honesty, as I never gave a numbered prediction. But, it is true that I didn’t expect it to hit THAT hard.

Right: Coronavirus is extremely localized in terms of outbreak, hitting certain areas extremely hard and leaving everywhere else mostly alone.

My county never got hit in any meaningful way. There was a jump in deaths due to a nursing home, but outside of that we were mostly in the clear. This is true of several counties in NJ as well as the vast majority of the country.

Right: As soon as the weather warmed up, deaths would drop like a rock.

This is exactly what happened.

Wrong, soft prediction: Deaths would cap out around 50,000.

This was my “soft prediction”; I said this was where I suspected we’d top out.

I suspect right, but can’t prove yet, hard prediction: Deaths in America won’t hit 100,000.

If Stephen Crowder’s estimate that we’ve overcounted by about 25% is correct, we capped at 90,000 at the point all cause deaths dropped to normal seasonal levels.

Right: Fauci’s model was completely wrong:

Fauci originally gave the low number in America at 100,000. Normally someone would say that he MIGHT be right, given what we know at least. Except it doesn’t tell the full story; he also changed the model to a 65,000 low number and an 85,000 low number before getting back into the 100s. Models don’t work like that; see Dr. Briggs. This means his model is wrong.

Not to mention that – unless I’m misunderstanding it, and so far nobody has told me how I could be – he was counting deaths differently when he made the model then the CDC counted them, making the model’s prediction even more badly skewed.

And finally, if it really is true we’re below 100,000 dead, then even if we cop to his 100,000 dead prediction he didn’t reach it.

Right: Kung flu did not hit as hard as the 57′ or 68′ flus, adjusted for population.

Is it due to lockdowns? Well we have no evidence of this, yet plenty of evidence they did a lot of harm. Draw your own conclusions until the really hard numbers become available.

Right: Politicians tried to take credit for the end of the crisis. See: Cuomo smugly calling out the Southern governors for…not killing nearly as many people as he did. Sure, let’s put your track record under a microscope and compare. You may not like how things shake out.

So in terms of my major predictions, I got one wrong and one sort of wrong. Pretty good, I think.

Let’s go with new predictions!

  1. There will be a second wave, but of cases, not of deaths
  2. The lockdown/open up/lockdown dance will continue until January, when the vaccine is rushed out
  3. The baseball season and football seasons will shut down within a couple of weeks of opening up. This will be due to a few players testing positive after getting mild colds.
  4. The vaccine will be mandatory, not by law, but by the vast majority of jobs. School jobs particularly.
  5. Schools will open up but close within a month, until the vaccine is rushed out.

There you go. Let’s see how right I am. Unlike the previous predictions – outside of prediction 1, which would be fairly neutral news – I hope I’m wrong.

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The Global Warming Zone, Part Whatever: The news is good

Okay. Now I’m just some guy. I’m no effort. But I’ve been paying attention and come from the 2nd hardest hit state in the country.

So I want to make something really, really clear:

If anybody describes what is happening in the southern states using the same language as they used describing NYC and NJ, your alarm bells should go off. You are being duped.

Look, I keep saying this, and I’m no epidemiologist, but I have been looking closely at this for awhile and feel confident saying this: the rising cases in the South are a good thing.

Once more, for those in the back: Rising cases are a good thing.

Risng cases *with rising deaths* are a bad thing. But stop and think about this for a moment. Seriously. Really think.

How do you get rid of most viruses?

They get a bunch of people sick until eventually there’s nobody left.

Most of the time we don’t give this much mind. It happens.

This year, we got a 1957 level – actually, less percentag-wise – infection, which is unfortunate but ultimately considering your odds of getting the disease at those numbers as well as it’s less than 1% death rate and commonly asymptomatic effects, it is nothing to get panicked over.

There is precedent: 1957 America did not panic and it became a footnote in history. Nobody that I have found seriously believes they should have locked down. It was just a bad flu year and they left it at that; they were a bit more than 30 years past the spanish flu after all. A lot of survivors were still alive; in comparison this must have felt inconsequential.

In America it seemed to be on pace to kill roughly 50,000 or so people (going by Fauci dropping to 65 and liberal counting methods), but tragically it swept through nursing homes thanks to incredibly bungled preventative measures, DeBlasio and Cuomo being the biggest culprits of this debacle. Take them out and we cut the number of deaths by anything from 40 to 50% – and this would be barely noticed.

Now the south is opening up, and cases are rising. Except they aren’t incompetents: (meaning, run by democrats): this time it isn’t sweeping the nursing homes. So cases rise, but among regular people and not sick old people, making it a regular cold that affects very unlikely people badly, you know, like a regular cold.

In any other year if something like this happened nobody would even notice.

The only recourse left is to argue the overpopulated hospitals are leading to serious problems. This little siren song has been claimed since the beginning, and never been close to true. If it is really true, then we should see all cause deaths from other illnesses rising sharply.

But it isn’t happening! All cause deaths are dropping! Guess the hospitals are handling it fine after all.

Yet still, using rising cases as a justification, places are being restricted again. This is a mistake; all it does is slow down the herd immunity, herd immunity that is demonstrably spreading in the exact sort of way we’d want, if we really want herd immunity.

Can you imagine a governor making this statement, when asked to close things down?:

“Given that all cause deaths have continued dropping at a regular pace, I see no reason to slow down herd immunity or bankrupt businesses, ruin livelihoods, and increase domestic violence and suicides. Thus, our state shall remain open for the foreseeable future until such a time as increased deaths force us to reconsider.”

No, of course not. It’s unimaginable.

Maybe you disagree. Maybe the rising cases spook you into preferring a lockdown. Okay, fine. Well and good.

But please, please remember this. Beat it into your brain:

Any time you hear someone talk about the south in the same manner as they talked about the north, *you are having the wool pulled over your eyes*.

It’s simply, provably not true.

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The Global Warming Zone, Some Big Number: It’s amazingly obvious

I think it is important, vitally so, that at least SOME of us don’t forget the sequence of events here.

Remember: NONE OF THESE ARE CONSPIRACIES. They are facts that were presented to the public

Claim: Fauci said 100,000 to 200,000 deaths, and he was right!

Truth: This is a highly misleading half-truth, at best. First, it is far from clear we hit 100,000 dead, and I doubt it. Second and more importantly, it is indeed true Fauci said that.

Fauci also said it would be 85,000 dead. Then he said it was 65,000 dead. Then it jumped back up again to 86,000, then back in the 100,000 range.

The other important point: Those changing numbers are a joke. Models don’t work like that. Fauci didn’t “update it with new information”, he was flat wrong and kept changing his predictions until he became right.

I don’t do the work of finding links, because 1) I’m lazy and 2) I’m venting more than trying to convince people. However, I invite anybody who disputes this to do their best to prove it. I promise to update accordingly.

Claim: Cases are rising. This is very bad news and things are getting out of control.

Truth: This is one of the more ridiculous claims to me. Remember discussions about herd immunity? And whether we should try that one out as a strategy to eliminate the disease?

This is literally the best possible scenario if you want herd immunity. It is literally ideal. The more people get the virus, the more become immune: A very good thing. If those people getting sick aren’t dying, this means that we’re getting the benefits of herd immunity with very little drawback.

And don’t even try with no “increased hospitalizations”. See previous post: We already know that’s not even close to true.

Claim: If you don’t wear a face covering or mask you don’t care about other people and are disgusting; it may be a good idea to keep them permanently. We know this because doctors and the CDC said so.

Truth: Up until only a few weeks ago there was a debate raging over whether masks did anything or were a good idea at all, and several doctors and scientists claiming they were actively harmful. The change to “masks are necessary and will make infections drop 80%” (look that one up) only arose when masks became publicly mandated.

I’m not gonna bother looking up old articles, which are hard to find, but I will show you an anecdotal point: leftist and coronavirus panic-supporter Randall Munroe admitting that the greatest value of homemade masks was that they reminded people not to get close to each other (and remember, the CDC only recommends cloth, that is, homemade, masks). Do I even need to explain why this is absolutely ridiculous justification for mandatory masks, possibly permanently, enforced by the rule of law? I hope not.

So: When I say “It’s amazingly obvious”, what I mean is “It is amazingly obvious that we have been repeatedly mislead about this virus”. Again, all of what I say here is not conspiracy theorizing or some sort of statistical analysis only able to be understood and explained by folks like Dr. Briggs. These were the sorts of things THE PUBLIC WAS TOLD BY OFFICIALS, until they pretended they didn’t.

And the pretending actually worked! That’s the amazing thing.

This is what fear does to you, people. When you willfully stop thinking, it’s always Year 0. And let’s not overlook the role of public education in this trainwreck either.

Just wash your damn hands so you’re not all gross. But you can stop sanitizing the door knobs now. It’s time – and has been for awhile.

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The Global Warming Zone, Part Bajillion: Do Not Trust Hospitalizations

Another argument I had, by people who refuse to see the truth. Remember my older posts. These people can see. They choose not to, because they are scared.

There is one and only one statistic worth looking at, and that is deaths. Explained by Dr. Briggs:

They’re also pushing “hospitalizations.” After lockdowns eased, people started to go to the doc for complaints they’ve been waiting on. They get tested. Lo, coronavirus is found. And the cancer patient (or whatever) is now listed as a coronavirus hospitalization.

That’s it. How do we know this?

*Deaths are dropping*. The end. There’s your proof.

Read the article. Deaths have no just dropped, they have dropped dramatically. There is nothing to worry about. There is no crisis.

“But deaths are rising in NJ!”

  1. Oh yeah, the state that has had some of the strictest restrictions in the country is suddenly having its deaths skyrocket when Southern states open for far longer and that never had restrictions anywhere near our level, is the one dropping in deaths. That makes sense.
  2. Remember how we have some of the most liberal counting methods in the world? Given that knowledge, what do you think is going to happen when hospitalizations – because they’re no longer turning away people – go up, and cases rise? Do you think that we’re suddenly not counting deaths liberally anymore, in one of the most scrutinized states in the country.
  3. Day to day fluctuations do not a trend make. The trend is deaths lowering at an incredibly fast rate.

People. Why are you still trusting the health organizations that have been wrong over and over again, lied and lied over and over again. You are the same people who call the media fake news. Have they suddenly turned honest about this incredibly politicized issue in an election year?

The proof is there. Act like a normal person again. Take normal precautions like you would any other time. Don’t be gross. But stop with the panic

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